Risk Analysis and Mitigation Strategies for Nava Base Logistics Using the Delphi-HOR Combination

Abstract

Base logistics at the Indonesian maritime border are currently very limited. This research is conducted to ensure that base logistics can optimally support KRI operations. The purpose of this research is to identify risk factors, assess the current risk level of base logistics, and develop risk mitigation strategies. With a special focus on Indonesia's maritime borders. Using a descriptive statistical qualitative approach, this research combines Delphi-HOR (House Of Risk) to support its analysis. The risk factors affecting base logistics are divided into: naval base facilities factor, environment factor, and infrastructure support factor. This research identifies 4 sub-factors of naval base facilities, 5 sub-factors of the environment, and 4 sub-factors of infrastructure support. Based on the severity and occurrence level of risk in the study, it shows that 1 sub-factor is at the low level, 5 sub-factors are at the medium level, and 8 sub-factors are at the high-risk level. The results of the factor identification by Delphi combined with HOR phase 1 show that there are 14 risk agents (A) and 14 risk events (E) that emerged. According to the ARP calculation, there are 5 risk agents (A) that contribute the most. The results of HOR phase 2 yielded 7 preventive actions used as risk mitigation strategies. The Delphi-HOR combination is capable of producing feasible mitigation strategies to address the existing risk factors.