Causal Analysis of the Posture of the Indonesian Navy and the Development of the Strategic Environment in Supporting the Archipelago's Sea Defense Strategy

Abstract

An understanding of these threats forms the basis for the Indonesian Navy in developing its strength, capability, operational doctrine and strategy, regional collaboration and enhancing maritime security and defense in Indonesia's jurisdiction. This study aims to identify variables from perceived threats and developments in the strategic environment to support the development of the Indonesian Navy's posture in supporting the implementation of the Archipelago Sea Defense Strategy using the Delphi method of analysis. Furthermore, the authors use the DEMATEL method to analyze the causal relationship between the criteria of the threat variable and developments in the strategic environment to determine strategies that can be applied in the development of the Indonesian Navy's posture for deploying Archipelago Sea Defense Strategy. From this analysis, it was obtained 8 (eight) variables that had an influence on the implementation of the SPLN which became the basis for the strategy for developing the Indonesian Navy's posture strength prioritizing the development of War ship, Naval Bases, Aircraft, Marines, and Special Forces. Meanwhile, the development of the Indonesian Navy's posture capabilities prioritizes increasing the capabilities of Defence, Security, maritime intelligence, Diplomacy, Support and Empowerment of marine defense environment. While the strategies that can be implemented in supporting the title of Archipelago Sea Defense Strategy include Increasing maritime diplomacy cooperation, Increasing the degree of maritime security and sea combat operations in selectively vulnerable areas such as hot areas and chock points and Integrating weapons systems that are adapted to Indonesia's geographical and geostrategic conditions