Ship Collision Probability in North Adriatic

Abstract

Maritime safety has become a more and more important issue due to the increase in maritime traffic. Despite all efforts to reduce the risk of accidents, the number of them continues to increase especially when it comes to ship collisions. Considering the fact that the Adriatic Sea is recognized as a high-risk area in terms of accidents, new perspectives need to be used for determining collision probability in certain areas. The paper analyses a navigational area in the Gulf of Trieste, which represents exceptional importance and provides access to one of the most important ports in the Adriatic, the ports of Trieste and Koper. The research approach for determining collision probability has been based on the AIS data by using the IALA risk management tool – IWRAP. The aim of the paper was to determine the collision probability and, based on the results, to propose a solution to increase safety at sea in the Gulf of Trieste.